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Markovovské správanie a efektívne bilaterálne rokovanie
Authors:
Milan Horniaček
JEL classification:
C72, C78, D74
Keywords:
Markov-perfect equilibrium, Pareto-efficient outcome, bilateral negotiation, extensive-form game
Abstract
The paper analyzes a hypothetical negotiation between two players (e.g., two countries) about
levels of their activities that may be harmful to one another. Negotiation takes place in noncontinuous
time with no time constraints, with alternating offers from both players. Until the players
reach an agreement, they can freely choose the levels of their activities. Once an agreement
is reached, however, it is binding. Such a negotiation process is modeled on a non-cooperative extensive-
form game. My analysis focuses on Markov strategies, which proscribe tactics that do not
affect current or future payoffs. In each Markov-perfect equilibrium (a subgame-perfect equilibrium
in Markov strategies), the players reach an agreement on Pareto-efficient levels of their activities
in the first round of negotiation.