What Wavelet-Based Quantiles Can Suggest about the Stocks-Bond Interaction in the Emerging East Asian Economies?
Njegić, Jovan; Stanković, Milica; Živkov, Dejan
Year: 2019 Volume: 69 Issue: 1 Pages: 95-119
Abstract: This paper investigates bidirectional interdependence between 10Y bond yields and stock returns in the eight emerging East Asian economies. The method of choice is wavelet-based quantile approach, which can provide an answer about spillover effect in different market conditions and in different time horizons. We find that shock spillover effect is much more intense from the bond markets to the stock markets in all the selected economies, than vice-versa. Also, the nexus is dominantly positive in the more developed financial markets in both tranquil and crisis periods, particularly in the short and midterm horizons, which is an indication that capital reallocation takes place between these markets in a search for safer and more profitable investments. As for the less developed East Asian economies, we find negative quantile parameters in all quantiles and in all wavelet scales, which suggests that dividend discount model is a decisive factor that drives the stock-bond interdependence in all time horizons.
JEL classification: C22, C63, G12, G15
Keywords: 10Y bond yields, stock returns, wavelet decomposition, quantile regression
RePEc: https://ideas.repec.org/a/fau/fauart/v69y2019i1p95-119.html
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